PodcastCommodity CultureJohn Feneck

SILVER Stocks Set to Go Berserk - 'These Companies Are Printing Cash': John Feneck

John Feneck links weaker inflation and employment data, along with expanded Treasury buybacks, to a more favorable backdrop for gold and silver. He sees operating leverage across silver miners and selected resource companies, while highlighting index-driven dislocations and concentration risk in the S&P 500. Feneck expects silver to reach $100 by next year but warns of a possible 15% to 20% broad-market correction, autumn selling, and heightened volatility around geopolitical headlines.

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Key Takeaways

Feneck says weaker inflation and employment data could reduce pressure for higher interest rates and influence Federal Reserve policy, turning him bullish. He also views Scott Bessent’s doubling of Treasury buybacks as effectively quantitative easing and a major positive signal for gold and silver, citing the rally in GDX and GDXJ since August 19 as confirmation.

Feneck’s stronger conviction in silver is reflected in its roughly 11% to 12% portfolio weighting versus 6.7% for gold, his view that silver could rise from about $68 to $100 by next year, and the SIL ETF’s roughly 20% year-to-date gain despite a 5% decline in silver. He also argues that miners offer operating leverage, with producers carrying sustaining costs near $30 per ounce potentially generating substantial cash flow at a $70 silver price.

Feneck highlights production and development catalysts across several smaller resource companies: Silverco is pursuing a 15,000-meter drilling campaign and aims to become a 10-million-ounce silver-equivalent producer within three years, while Exelon Resources could begin silver production in Peru and expand in 2027. He predicts Exelon could recover from 29 cents to its prior 50-to-51-cent resistance level by early next year, keeping the forecast explicitly contingent on those developments.

The episode emphasizes company-specific operating leverage and rerating potential, including DNRSF’s planned revenue increase from under $2 million to about $20 million, IMR Resources’ strategic contribution of an estimated 4.5 million to 5 million gold ounces, and Cass Resources’ projected tungsten costs of $100 to $150 per ton versus prices above $2,800. Feneck also points to Anchor Resources’ undrilled 30-year oil lease as a potential source of near-term cash flow alongside gold and copper exposure.

ECONOMY

Weak Data — Feneck says weaker inflation and employment data made him bullish by reducing pressure for higher interest rates and influencing Federal Reserve policy. He cites CPI at 3.4% versus 3.5% expected, along with a 0.7% miss in July CPI.

“I mean, and then and then the following week CPI, right, comes in at 3.4 versus 3.5…”—

MARKETS

Miner Outperformance — The SIL silver-miner ETF is up about 20% year to date, while silver is down about 5%. Feneck views that gap as evidence that silver-miner equities may be reawakening and argues that producers with sustaining costs near $30 per ounce could generate substantial cash flow at $70 silver.

“The SIL ETF up around 20% year to date versus silver down around 5%. So that delta between the two is looking pretty decent in my view…”—

Silverco Drilling — Feneck highlights Silverco’s two advanced-stage development projects and its goal of becoming a 10-million-ounce silver-equivalent producer within three years. Its ongoing 15,000-meter, multi-rig drilling campaign at Lenegra is another potential catalyst.

“I talked to Mark Ironto about a month ago. They have two projects that are advanced stage development projects…”—

Portfolio Allocation — Feneck says silver represents roughly 11% to 12% of his portfolio, versus 6.7% for gold, reflecting his stronger conviction in silver. He also argues that gold equities can provide roughly three-to-one leverage in a bull market, citing GDXJ gains of 7% to 8% on days when gold rises 2%.

“So silver as we speak is about a 11 to 12% position. It was 10 and a half% as of quarter end. Gold is around 6.7…”—

FORECASTS

Silver Outlook — Feneck rejects the idea that silver will reach $1,000 in his lifetime. Nearer term, he wants silver to return to its $70-to-$90 trading channel from around $68 and says he sees $100 by next year; he does not know whether it will revisit the prior parabolic $121 level.

“I would be the other side of that. I'd be completely shocked if silver were to get to a thousand in my lifetime…”—

Exelon Rebound — Feneck predicts Exelon Resources could rebound from 29 cents to its prior 50-to-51-cent resistance level by early next year. He links the potential rerating to the company’s first silver production in Peru and its expected expansion into a larger producer in 2027.

“Stocks at 29 cents US. It hit 50 to 51 cents twice this year on heavy volume. So that's sort of where major resistance lies, right?…”—

Gold Resistance — Feneck is more bullish on silver rising from $68 to $100 than on gold quickly advancing from $4,600 to $5,600. He expects gold to encounter resistance around $4,690 and again near $4,900 to $5,000 before potentially moving higher.

“which I think we break through, but then you're going to test 4,900 to 5,000 and that's another resistance level. We don't just go right back to the all-time high.”—

Coming Up

John Feneck attributes the precious-metals rally to weaker employment and inflation data, while Treasury buybacks signal supportive monetary conditions for gold and silver.

Bessent's Buyback and Precious Metals

Feneck rejects extreme $300-to-$1,000 silver forecasts but expects silver to reach $100 next year, emphasizing short-term evidence, technical levels, and higher lows.

Silver to $300 Ahead?

With silver near $70, Feneck sees strong operating leverage in miners and highlights ETFs, Pan American Silver, Silverco, and Excellon Resources as opportunities.

Silver Miners Printing Cash

Feneck compares silver and gold allocations, favoring silver's path toward $100 and gold equities' three-to-four-times leverage during a renewed precious-metals bull market.

Gold Versus Silver

Feneck identifies Daenerius Metals, Goldgroup, and IML Resources as mispriced gold opportunities driven by debt restructuring, merger dislocations, production growth, and strategic investments.

Gold Miners With Major Potential

Feneck discusses tungsten, antimony, copper, and energy, highlighting Spartan Metals, Skyline Builders, and Ankor Resources amid supply shortages and geopolitical risks.

Critical Minerals Stocks With Legs

Feneck warns that financial advisers remain heavily exposed to an expensive, technology-concentrated S&P 500 despite limited upside after a long rally.

When Will the Broad Market Break?

Feneck expects a possible 15% to 20% broad-market correction, arguing that prolonged weakness could redirect attention toward profitable gold and silver miners.

Keeping Cash on the Sidelines

Feneck has reduced cash to roughly 8% to 10% but recommends keeping dry powder because autumn seasonality and geopolitical volatility could pressure miners again.

John's Upcoming Conference

Feneck previews the Arizona Commodities Global Expo and explains Fenic Consulting's events, research, real-time macro alerts, newsletter, and investor-focused services.

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Important Disclaimers

Not Investment Advice: For education only — not financial, tax or legal advice.

AI-Generated: Made by AI from source transcripts and may contain errors.

No Guarantees: Past performance does not predict future results; investing carries risk.

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