Col. Macgregor: 'Dollar Collapse, Bank Runs, Global Depression' If War Doesn't End NOW
The discussion presents the Middle East and Ukraine wars as drivers of geopolitical realignment, with Russia, Iran, and China challenging American influence across Eurasia. It links that conflict risk to vulnerabilities in debt, banking, currencies, energy infrastructure, and market concentration, while highlighting gold, commodities, Bitcoin, and domestic industrial capacity as potential alternatives or strategic assets. The guest’s outlook is notably conditional, including a forecast for gold to reach $15,000 per ounce within two to three years if the war continues and its outcome is worse than expected.
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The guest portrays the Middle East war as ongoing despite repeated claims of an imminent deal, while the host describes oil and broad-market prices reversing when peace expectations change. The guest also says delivered physical oil is already costing $140 per barrel and that the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is nearing its lower limit.
The episode frames Russia, Iran, and China as a coordinated challenge to U.S. influence across Eurasia, with China building a gold-centered alternative and potentially drawing heavily indebted countries toward BRICS. The guest argues that Russia’s industrial and military buildup—including more than 2.4 million personnel—contrasts with an exhausted Ukraine and Europe’s political instability.
The speaker argues that Iran’s 93 million people, mountainous terrain, deserts, and dispersed population centers make the country difficult for most U.S. systems to attack. On that basis, he recommends disengaging from the Iran-related conflict, withdrawing from vulnerable overseas bases, and returning to a noninterventionist model.
The guest links rising sovereign debt and central-bank gold buying to a potential repricing of gold, citing U.S. federal debt increasing from $0.9 trillion in 1980 to $39 trillion today. He forecasts gold at $15,000 per ounce within two to three years if the war continues and its outcome is worse than expected, versus Soloway’s $13,000 forecast for 2030–2031.
The episode highlights a broader U.S. debt and financial-system vulnerability: bond yields are cited at 4.7%, with 5% described as a level that could create severe debt-servicing stress, while interest costs already exceed the defense budget and total more than $1 trillion. The guest warns that continued war involvement could bring bank runs, currency collapse, and a global depression rather than only a hard recession.
GEO-POLITICS
“Well, first of all, the war is not over and that's something that is not widely believed here…”—
“So, though you know there's a combination of adaptation overseas in many countries. And of course in some places you still have nuclear power…”—
“Well, I would argue most of the world, but who's leading it? Russia, Iran, and China. Those three great powers…”—
TECHNOLOGY
“Now, I don't think it's hopeless because even though we may have a fiat currency crisis, I'm one of these people, and this is going to sound strange to some…”—
ECONOMY
“Just as people are saying, "Oh well, the war is over and everything's going to go back to normal." It won't. You're never going to go back to normal…”—
“I think you know, we're having trouble understanding why interest rates are rising and bond yields are rising.”—
MARKETS
“And he points out that the federal debt you know, in 1980 was 0.9 trillion. Today, then it went to 14.8 trillion in 2011. 39 trillion today…”—
“We've seen both the broad market and especially the energy market be very affected when it looks like peace is on the table, the oil market falls, the broad market…”—
“What Trump has done by manipulating the markets is postpone a lot of the pain. Now, we still have a rise in prices for things…”—
FORECASTS
“I think Soloway said, "We'll be paying $13,000 an ounce by 2030 2031." If everything stays the same as it is now, that's going to happen.”—
Coming Up
Macgregor argues that the Iran war continues despite public claims of imminent negotiations, with Trump reportedly preparing further strikes under pressure from pro-Israel political and financial interests.
Iran Was Isn't Ending
The guest says Trump and aligned media outlets manipulate war-related market expectations, benefiting insiders while promoting the same interventionist networks behind conflicts involving Iran and Russia.
Insider Trading Off War
Macgregor predicts Hormuz disruptions will eventually produce severe energy and supply-chain consequences, although market manipulation and international adaptation have temporarily delayed shortages and inflation.
When Will Hormuz Closure Effects Hit?
He presents gold as protection against unsustainable debt, currency instability, and central-bank demand, forecasting $15,000 per ounce within two or three years if the war worsens.
Is Gold Still a Safe Haven?
Macgregor warns that continued escalation could trigger global depression, bank runs, currency collapse, and a shift toward gold-based trade, Bitcoin, and alternative financial blocs led by China and Russia.
Outcome of War Worse Than You Think
He recommends resource-linked assets including gold, oil, copper, uranium, food, and other commodities, while urging Canada and the United States to rebuild refining capacity and strategic industrial sovereignty.
Which Commodities Will Benefit?
Russia's military and industrial capabilities have expanded, while Ukraine is exhausted; Macgregor believes Russia could seize additional territory but remains restrained from directly attacking NATO supporters.
Russia-Ukraine Heating Up
He links Europe's instability to mass migration, public insecurity, and failing governments, predicting revolutionary political change as citizens lose patience with leaders unable to protect national borders.
Mass Migration To Spain
Macgregor alleges that foreign-backed networks encouraged migration into Europe, portraying the Ceuta episode and broader demographic pressures as deliberate threats to Spanish and European sovereignty.
Is There Hope at the End of This?
He rejects linear Western assumptions, urging American disengagement from Eurasian wars, domestic reindustrialization, border protection, and a confident third-party movement centered on diplomacy and national renewal.
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