America Just Turned Crypto Into a Weapon for the Dollar
Mark Moss argues that the GENIUS Act turns stablecoins into a strategic extension of the U.S. dollar by connecting global demand for digital dollars to demand for Treasury assets. He concludes that this could strengthen dollar dominance and expand Washington's borrowing capacity while weakening purchasing power, creating a potential “reverse crash” in which asset prices rise but living costs and the real value of wealth deteriorate.
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Mark Moss says the federal deficit is projected to approach $1.9 trillion this year, while annual interest on the debt is nearing $1 trillion and consumes about 18.5 cents of each dollar of government revenue.
He says foreign central banks held roughly 30% of America's marketable debt in 2006, but that share has fallen to about 12%, its lowest level in the Treasury's 25-year series.
Moss argues that stablecoins can create a new global class of dollar users while requiring reserve assets that help fund the U.S. debt market.
The GENIUS Act allows regulated banks and private issuers to create digital dollar claims, while Washington determines who may issue them, how they are backed, and which coins can access the U.S. market.
He explains that stablecoins add a new layer to money creation by allowing private companies to issue reserve-backed digital dollar liabilities that can move globally around the clock without traditional banking rails.
Moss says the stablecoin market was about $309 billion as of August 19, with approximately 99.5% of it pegged to the U.S. dollar.
The Dollar Just Got a New Weapon
Moss presents the GENIUS Act as a strategic dollar initiative, arguing that stablecoins could extend U.S. monetary influence across global digital payment networks.
The Debt Machine
The United States faces escalating deficits, refinancing needs, and interest costs while foreign Treasury demand declines, creating pressure to find new marginal buyers.
USA Using Stablecoin Rails
Washington is absorbing crypto’s payment rails by allowing regulated private issuers to distribute dollar stablecoins globally while controlling issuance, reserves, redemption, and market access.
The Buyer Inside the Coin
Stablecoin demand comes from citizens in countries such as Venezuela, Iran, Lebanon, and Ethiopia who use digital dollars to escape inflation, capital controls, and failing local currencies.
The Debasement Flywheel
Stablecoin reserves can flow into Treasury bills, linking global demand for digital dollars to U.S. debt and potentially expanding borrowing capacity while increasing debasement pressures.
The New Dollar Weapon
Unlike the traditional dollar weapon of exclusion and sanctions, stablecoins could pull billions of users into America’s monetary network and make competing currencies difficult to scale.
The Reverse Crash
A stronger dollar network may coexist with weaker purchasing power, producing a reverse crash where asset prices rise while living costs and the real value of wealth deteriorate.
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