Attacks in Saudi & Fanatics Goes All-In on Gambling 10/14/26

The senators argue that Russian diesel exports would barely affect fuel prices while funding the Kremlin’s war, and the segment says the planned Russian oil supply equals less than two weeks of U.S. diesel demand. That limited scale contrasts with the IEA’s warning that diesel supply could remain tight into the latter half of 2027 and fall short of demand in the fourth quarter; the segment also cites WTI at 95 and Brent at 106.

The guest presents an embargo as a months-long pressure strategy—potentially taking six to twelve months—rather than a route to the Iranian regime’s imminent collapse, and says sanctions are meant to bring Iran to negotiations. He identifies a deal restoring restrictions on nuclear-weapons-grade material and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz as a possible path, amid Iran’s reliance on proxies including the Houthis and Shia militias in Southern Iraq.

The guest says support for Ukraine and Israel and conflicts involving Iran have depleted munitions without a resupply chain capable of replacing them, and argues that a two-to-four-month production ramp-up would not meaningfully increase supply. He says those constraints could limit a more severe further round of conflict, making the military option harder to sustain alongside the deal or embargo choices he describes.