PodcastCapital CosmEd Steer

🔴 Ed Steer is Buying Physical GOLD As Of Yesterday (here's why)

Ed Steer argues that a $40 trillion U.S. deficit, persistent inflation, and currency debasement are driving investors toward hard assets. He alleges that paper-market short positions and price management have held down precious metals, while pointing to central-bank buying and market data as signs of a potential shift. He sees further upside for gold and silver, but frames a possible gold bottom, dramatic repricing, and related inflation or financial risks as forecasts and scenarios rather than established outcomes.

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Key Takeaways

Ed Steer argues that the roughly $40 trillion U.S. deficit and lack of spending cuts are contributing to a shift from paper assets into hard assets; he also disputes official inflation measures, estimating actual inflation could be at least double what CPI and PPI report. He sees currency debasement as a reason gold and silver have further to rise, though these are his assessments and forecasts.

Ed Steer alleges that commercial traders and large paper-market short positions suppress precious-metals prices, and points to silver’s $57 price, its earlier rise to $120 while silver shares lagged, and 56,000 contracts of volume on a cited down day versus about 150,000 on comparable down days. He characterizes those moves as price intervention rather than ordinary free-market trading; the intervention claim is his allegation, not an independently established fact.

Ed Steer sees central-bank gold buying over the past decade, China’s accumulation over more than 20 years, and gold’s rise from about $500 to $4,100 over 25 years as signs that gold and silver are gradually remonetizing. He says he and others think China may hold more than 20,000 tons, an unconfirmed estimate, and speculates that prices could be much higher without bullion-bank selling.

ECONOMY

Inflation Estimates — Ed Steer calls CPI and PPI figures “complete BS” and suspects actual inflation is at least double what is reported. This is his assessment, not an established measurement.

“But if you believe the actual numbers they're giving you, then I have a bridge for you, a real good price, because you know, anybody in their right mind knows…”—

MARKETS

Metals Sell-Off — Ed Steer argues that commercial traders, rather than free-market forces, drove the precious-metals sell-off to cover short positions. He calls silver at $57 an ounce an “absolute joke”; these are his allegations about price intervention, not independently established facts.

“so egregious it's unbelievable but you know the price action we saw yesterday the precious metals had nothing to do with the free market forces…”—

Mining Shares Lag — Ed Steer says silver shares underperformed silver when the metal rose to $120 in January. He interprets that gap as an effort to keep investors out of precious metals.

“And it really became obvious in January when the silver price took off to $120. The silver shares actually underperformed the metal itself…”—

Gold Open Interest — Ed Steer says gold open interest fell from nearly 600,000 contracts in early 2025 to just under 400,000, after peaking around 430,000 at the end of August. He describes the current level as far below its highs.

“Now looking at gold gold open interest if you I'm just looking at the last 6 months it peaked out around 430,000 contracts worth at the end of August and…”—

FORECASTS

Possible Gold Bottom — Ed Steer says the previous day was most likely the low for the current decline and reports buying physical gold that morning. His bottom call is a forecast, not a confirmed market bottom.

“But if I had to bet my proverbial $10, Danny, I would say that we most likely saw the low for this move down yesterday…”—

Yield Below 5% — Ed Steer argues that Treasury bond purchases are creating artificial demand and pushing the 10-year yield down. He predicts authorities will try to keep the yield below 5%, or as low as possible, until inflation becomes an overriding issue; this is his view, not a verified policy commitment.

“And you're right, is down 11 basis points to 5.09%. You know, and this is nothing to do with you know, free market at all…”—

Debt And Metals — Ed Steer argues that governments facing unpayable debt will choose currency debasement over default, which he sees as a reason gold and silver will go higher. He predicts the metals have much further to rise.

“I mean, everybody's up to their eyeballs in debt of unpayable debt at as a matter of fact…”—

Inflation And Metal Price Management

Steer attributes recent precious-metal moves to price suppression rather than free-market forces and says he bought physical gold after what he believes may have been a short-term low.

Treasury Yields And Debt

Steer argues that bond buying and market intervention are holding down yields as governments face unpayable debt, while reported inflation figures understate the problem.

Mining Stocks And Futures Data

The speakers discuss declines in major mining shares before Steer turns to falling gold and silver open interest and unusually low trading volume.

Short Positions And Currency Debasement

Steer says concentrated short positions have shaped precious-metal prices for decades as investors increasingly move from paper assets toward gold and silver amid currency debasement.

Judy Shelton And Commodity Repricing

Steer is cautious about Judy Shelton's Treasury role but expects long-running commodity price management to end, potentially releasing pent-up inflationary pressure.

Gold Revaluation And Monetary Reset

Steer treats a gold revaluation as speculation, but argues that fiat systems eventually fail and that central-bank and Chinese gold buying reflects gold's monetary importance.

Short Squeeze And Commodity Inflation

Steer warns that repricing could bankrupt short sellers and threaten exchanges, while arguing that any broad reset would bring higher prices across commodities, including silver.

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Important Disclaimers

Not Investment Advice: For education only — not financial, tax or legal advice.

AI-Generated: Made by AI from source transcripts and may contain errors.

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